Published in Analytical Articles

By Gregory Gleason (12/15/2004 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: The Bukhara summit of Turkmen President Saparmurad Niyazov and Uzbek President Islam Karimov last month marked the first meeting of the two presidents since an assassination attempt on the life of the Turkmen President in 2002 soured relations between the two Central Asian countries. Relations between the leaders have been tense ever since the November 25, 2002 assassination attempt on the Turkmen President’s life. Just a week after the assassination attempt the Turkmen police raided the Uzbek Ambassador’s residence in Ashgabat.
Published in Analytical Articles

By Jacob Townsend (12/15/2004 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: China gives its fight against the drug trade a high priority but its actions are overwhelmingly focussed on its borders with Myanmar. This is understandable, since until recently well over 90% of the opiates consumed in China came from the Golden Triangle. Broadly speaking, its law enforcement efforts have paid off and these have coincided with a decline in opium production in Myanmar and Laos.
Wednesday, 15 December 2004

RUSSIA TO INVEST IN TAJIKISTAN

Published in Analytical Articles

By R. Grant Smith (12/15/2004 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: When Tajikistan became independent in 1991, Russia kept its 201st Motorized Rifle Division and its border forces there. The Tajik group that ended up controlling the government welcomed the assistance of these two in providing stability during the civil war and in securing the border with Afghanistan. Russia did not, however, offer substantial economic assistance, except for credits in the period immediately after the breakup of the USSR.
Published in Analytical Articles

By James Purcell Smith (12/1/2004 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: In the early 1990s, immediately after the collapse of USSR, Iran adopted an assertive policy in a push to gain influence in Central Asia, both through export of its Islamic ideology, through economic ties, and implying its political agenda in a regional dimension under the aegis of international organizations. These efforts briefly brought the Islamist government in Tajikistan under Tehran’s wings in 1991-1992. Its defeat in the ensuing civil war transformed Iran’s policy into co-sponsorship of the Tajik peace dialogue on behalf of the United Tajik Opposition.

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The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.

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