Wednesday, 26 January 2005

DOES ARMENIA FACE A MAJOR CRISIS?

Published in Analytical Articles

By Stephen Blank (1/26/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: The most important factor in Armenian politics is the continuing primacy of the Nagorno-Karabakh issue. While annexation of this territory commands mass support, it should be clear to more dispassionate observers that Armenia can only sustain this policy at the cost of its economic future and independence. These costs make their presence felt in several ways.
Published in Analytical Articles

By Hooman Peimani (1/26/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: Azerbaijan and Iran have a long common history ended when Iran lost the Caucasus, including Azerbaijan, to Russia as a result of two series of long and devastating wars. The Turkmanchai Treaty of 1828 heralded the end of Iran’s influence in that region as the treaty formalized its annexation by Russia. The Soviet Union’s collapse and the emergence of Azerbaijan as an independent state created high hopes both in Iran and Azerbaijan for close and cordial relations justified by their common history as well as many other commonalities such as cultural, social and religious.
Published in Analytical Articles

By Anar Valiyev and Yusuf Valiyev (1/26/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: Ever since the demise of the Soviet Union, the relations between Azerbaijan and Georgia have been continually cordial. Both countries shared similar problems including ethnic separatism, an aggressive Russian policy in the South Caucasus, the rapid polarization and marginalization of both societies, as well as weak democratic institutions. The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline project gave an impetus to the strengthening and deepening of economic, political, and cultural ties.
Wednesday, 12 January 2005

NEXT REVOLUTION: KYRGYZSTAN?

Published in Analytical Articles

By Nazgul Baktybekova (1/12/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: On 6 January a District Election Commission in Bishkek officially registered Kyrgyz opposition figure Roza Otunbaeva as a candidate for parliamentary elections scheduled for 27 February. However, a few hours later members of the same District Election Commission were called for an extraordinary meeting where they overturned their previously accepted decision. The cancellation of opposition figure’s registration was explained by absence of a quorum at the initial meeting.

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Silk Road Paper Johan Engvall, Between Bandits and Bureaucrats: 30 Years of Parliamentary Development in Kyrgyzstan, January 2022.  

Oped Svante E. Cornell, No, The War in Ukraine is not about NATO, The Hill, March 9, 2022.

Analysis Svante E. Cornell, Kazakhstan’s Crisis Calls for a Central Asia Policy Reboot, The National Interest, January 34, 2022.

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Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell, S. Frederick Starr & Albert Barro, Political and Economic Reforms in Kazakhstan Under President Tokayev, November 2021.

The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.

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