By Erica Marat (2/23/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: During his years as President, Askar Akaev has generated both loyal supporters to his regime and uncompromising opposition leaders. One of the sources of the regime’s stability has a combination of political pluralism maintained in the country and the government’s pervasive engagement in the private sector. Situations of semi-democracy such as the one in Kyrgyzstan are, as Thomas Carothers has noted, not necessarily an intermediary stage to the greater liberation of politics and society.By Iskandar Abdullaev (2/23/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: It is believed that by 2025, 70 percent of the world’s population will live in areas with physical or economic water scarcity. Nowhere is this more evident than in Central Asia, specifically in the Syr Darya River basin. The tremendous irrigation development of the 1960s and 1970s led to a decline of environmental flows.By Rahimullah Yusufzai (2/23/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Afghanistan’s warlords prospered when the Taliban lost power and were rewarded with positions of authority in the interim government led by President Hamid Karzai. President Karzai has since been trying to gradually sideline the warlords, but this has proved difficult in view of the U.S.By Murad Batal Al-Shishani (2/9/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: The second Russian-Chechen war erupted in 1999, and the Russian forces invaded the Republic and presented a formula for resolution of the conflict based on fraudulent elections that brought Chechnya’s former mufti (religious leader), Ahmad Kadyrov, to power. Following Kadyrov’s assassination in May 2004, the power was turned to Alu Alkhanov in the same way, and he became a head of a pro-Russian government. Consequently, political power in Chechnya was divided into three major wings: the first represented by the legitimate president, Aslan Maskhadov, who represents a moderate national movement calling for a peaceful solution to the conflict, pulling Russian forces out of the Chechen Republic, and negotiations.The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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