By Stephen Blank (5/7/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Russia’s elite remains unreconciled to America’s economic-military presence in the CIS, which it regards as a threat to the reconstitution of Moscow’s hegemony there. The war against Iraq reintensified fears of Moscow’s losing ground in Central Asia and precipitated coordinated moves against Central Asian states and America. Moscow’s recent moves follow Washington’s refusal to make concessions to Russia to win its support over the war with Iraq, implying that Russia gains nothing from partnership with America.By Michael Dillon (4/23/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: On Thursday, March 27, a long distance passenger bus owned by a travel company from Xinjiang was attacked 60 km outside the town of Kochkorka in the Naryn region of eastern Kyrgyzstan on the road from Bishkek to Torugart. The bus, which was carrying 17 passengers and at least two drivers, was travelling to Kashgar to collect goods for resale in Kyrgyzstan and the passengers were carrying large amounts of cash. The vehicle was discovered by a passing hunter 500 metres off the road in a meadow by the side of a river, and the authorities initially reported the incident as a traffic accident, serious but hardly unusual in a border region where large numbers of often unroadworthy vehicles are driven for long distances across difficult terrain.By Eric A. Miller (4/23/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Through its strong backing of U.S. efforts to oust Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein, Georgia has solidified its image as Washington’s chief strategic partner in the Caucasus.By William D. O’Malley & Roger N. McDermott (4/23/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Since the U.S. deployment into Kyrgyzstan’s only international airport at Manas in 2001 in support of Operation Enduring Freedom, the choice of location for the CRDF airbase was limited to a series of less capable regional or military airfields.The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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