By Gulnara Ismailova (2/10/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: During the fall of 2002, the American pressure on Iraq increased gradually to a point where the probability of a military campaign being launched only several hundred kilometers from the Caucasus is extremely high. As late January, with the report of UN inspectors on Iraq, appears increasingly to be the moment of truth regarding an invasion of Iraq, the Caucasian states are pondering how to relate to this development. Georgia and Azerbaijan already strongly aligned themselves with the U.By Nasib Nassibli (2/10/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: In the aftermath of the Soviet Union\'s collapse, Iran confronted the appearance of new states on its northern borders with concern. Iran launched unprecedented diplomatic activity to protect its national security interests and to prevent undesirable geopolitical developments. Specifically, Iran initiated the signing of a plethora of bilateral and multilateral agreements to induce cooperation between the Caspian littoral states.By Stephen Blank (2/10/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: After 1991 India was jolted economically and politically into forging a coherent strategy for Central Asia. Indian analysts and officials began to discern not just the Islamic extremist threat orchestrated by Pakistan\'s ISI that could lead, and has since heightened the upsurge of separatist violence in Kashmir, but also perceived an increased sense that China and Pakistan were seeking enhanced influence in Central Asia to \'encircle\' India politically, strategically, and economically. The separatist and terrorist threat that steadily grew in 2000-2002 forcefully brought these dangers to India\'s attention even before September 11.By Ariel Cohen (2/10/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Last December, international media uncovered satellite imagery, which is interpreted to be two secret Iranian installations involved in uranium enrichment. According to senior U.S.The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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