By Stephen Blank (3/3/2010 issue of the CACI Analyst)
The opening of the Turkmenistan-China gas pipeline in December 2009 has focused deserved attention on China’s growing presence in Central Asia, particularly in the energy field. But the larger story transcends China and is really about the growing connections between Central Asia and East Asian countries in general, not just China. In this context, South Korea’s reinvigorated moves to consummate energy and infrastructure contracts with Central Asian producers are particularly revealing.
By Tamerlan Vahabov (3/3/2010 issue of the CACI Analyst)
The January 14 meeting by east European leaders in Batumi, Georgia, marked an important step toward the realization of the southern energy corridor. Among them, Ukrainian and Azerbaijani participation is of utmost importance. Both countries demonstrate a certain degree of pragmatism in their relations with both Russia and the West, trying to reap the benefits of partnerships on both sides.
By Roman Muzalevsky (3/3/2010 issue of the CACI Analyst)
The ongoing polemic between Uzbekistan and Tajikistan over the latter’s decision to construct the Rogun hydropower station has intensified, threatening to escalate amidst regional environmental challenges, widespread poverty, border disputes, and lack of inter-state cooperation, especially on water management issues. This context creates a potentially explosive environment in Central Asia that has witnessed a number of ethnic and resource-related conflicts in the past, primarily in the Fergana Valley, requiring effective intra and extra-regional policy responses to avoid water wars that are to some extent already under way across the region.
BACKGROUND: The regional water (mis)management in Central Asia resembles a vicious circle.
By Mamuka Tsereteli (2/17/2010 issue of the CACI Analyst)
The recent developments in the Black Sea/Caspian region indicate a dramatic shift in the geopolitical environment of the region. The reduced strategic ties between regional actors; diminishing U.S.
The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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