By Kevin Daniel Leahy (6/27/2007 issue of the CACI Analyst)
For months now, Ramzan Kadyrov has been calling for Russia’s constitution to be altered so that President Putin would be allowed to stand for a third term. Putin, however, is on record as saying he does not want another term. Therefore, the time is fast approaching when Kadyrov must acknowledge, with as much grace as he can muster, that Putin will indeed be relinquishing the presidency for at least four years.
By Richard Weitz (6/27/2007 issue of the CACI Analyst)
From June 12 to 15, an extraordinary conference of signatory countries to the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE) convened in Vienna. The Russian government called the meeting, the first of its kind in the CFE’s 17-year history, to resolve various disputes that had arisen between Moscow and other signatories. One of the main items in dispute concerns Russian military activities in Georgia.
By Haroun Mir (6/27/2007 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Since early 2007, the number of suicide bombings, political assassinations, and armed clashes has risen in the northern provinces of Afghanistan, which indicates a gradual deterioration of the situation in this relatively peaceful part of the country. While the Afghan government and NATO forces have focused on the insurgent-infested territories of southern and eastern Afghanistan, anti-government elements have become increasingly active in the northern and western provinces.
BACKGROUND: The Afghan government and NATO countries have spent most of their energy on reacting to the insurgency in the south, but have failed to put forward a clear vision to bring good governance and economic development to the relatively peaceful northern provinces.
By Cerwyn Moore (6/13/2007 issue of the CACI Analyst)
The death of Abu Hafs Al-Urdani, the Jordanian ‘Amir’ of the Arab fighters in Chechnya, points towards a series of further questions about foreign influence and radicalisation of elements of the Chechen separatist movement. The death of Abu Hafs seems to indicate the success that pro-Kremlin forces are having isolating and eliminating foreign fighters in so-called ‘special operations’. Indeed, Hafs was one in a succession of figures that pro-Kremlin forces have targeted and ‘liquidated’ over the last six years.
The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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