IMPLICATIONS: National governments have responded differently to the new challenge posed by Hizb-ut-Tahrir. In Tajikistan, over 600 members of Hizb-ut-Tahrir were jailed since 1998. In Kyrgyzstan, the persecution of hundreds of HT supporters has aroused a sound public discussion on whether HT should be registered or its members detained. The Uzbek leadership severely punishes anyone suspected of HT activity. Human rights activists in Uzbekistan complain that even during Ramadan, unfair repressions against Hizb-ut-Tahrir members continued. The political exclusion of ethnic minorities, youth and cross-border population could also further contribute to the growing activity of HT. Despite these processes, the movement has some limitations. Often, Hizb-ut-Tahrir members deliberately exaggerate the number of their members. Compared to the activity of the rich Protestant churches from the U.S., South Korea and some European countries in Central Asia, Hizb-ut-Tahrir’s purported success does not look as great. For instance ten thousand citizens of Kyrgyzstan,, the majority Kyrgyz by ethnicity and originally Muslim have reportedly been converted by protestant missionaries in the north of the country. Meanwhile, an estimated three thousand natives of Kyrgyzstan have joined Hizb-ut-Tahrir cells. A similar situation exists in Kazakhstan, where more Kazakhs have converted into Protestantism than have been converted by Hizb-ut-Tahrir rhetoric. In Tajikistan, the 40,000-member Islamic Renaissance Party effectively restricts the spread of HT across the country. The influence of HT cells is close to insignificant in regions and cities marked by higher political participation, and multiparty activities on the mobilization of various ethnic groups and youth. Secondly, the HT doctrine mistakenly appeals to anti-Semitic feelings, which are practically absent in Central Asia. It is also very unlikely that pan-Islamic initiatives and a supra-regional agenda could be successful today among the fragmented subregions of the Central Asian countries. Focusing on criticism of the clandestine Hizb-ut-Tahrir, local decision-makers overlook other utopian movements openly seeking the restoration of the Soviet Union or the mass out-migration of hundreds of thousands of people to other countries in order to survive. In general, the overwhelming majority of local people observes traditional values and rituals, and have little interest in foreign Islamic literature and organizations and the politicization of Islam. Even seventy years of enormous pressure and propaganda under the Soviet regime could not change the importance of traditional Islam in the region. The role of everyday Islam has greatly increased over the last decade, as a shortage of educated home-grown mullahs led to low resistance on the part of the youth to religious extremism. Some young people inevitably join religious extremist movements as a sign of protest against the old values of the Soviet generation that are discredited and irrelevant today, against the current economic hardship and the damage to trade done by regional disintegration.
CONCLUSIONS: National governments, official religious leaders and the public at large have a good opportunity to start a dialogue with Hizb-ut-Tahrir leaders and members in Central Asia to find a non-violent solution for preventing radical extremism. Politicians would be well served by considering some of the more reasonable criticism voiced by the radicals, which is actually what gives the movement popularity, such as corruption, social injustice, groundless repressions, neglect of unemployed young people, etc. Several years of Hizb-ut-Tahrir activity and persecution of its members has made the urgent need of higher political participation at the grassroots level and in particular by the youth evident, if the expansion of rich foreign religious groups in Central Asia is to be halted. On the whole, in all Central Asian countries, the prospects for religious extremism will much depend on continued reforms, political participation, especially by ethnic minorities and voters in remote and cross-border regions.
AUTHOR’S BIO: Anara Tabyshalieva is a visiting fellow at the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, Johns Hopkins University-SAIS.