By Stephen Blank (4/9/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: In November 2002, Turkmenistan announced that it had uncovered an attempted coup against its government that Russia had facilitated. Notwithstanding the neo-Stalinist grotesqueries of this coup and subsequent repression, there is good reason to believe this charge was not unfounded. It occurred just before a meeting of heads of state of Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, and Pakistan in Ashgabat to initiate a feasibility study on a gas pipeline originating in Turkmenistan that would flow through these two countries to Pakistan’s port of Gwadar in the Arabian Sea.By Daniel Linotte and Megumi Yoshii (4/9/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Central Asian States are facing water problems that may still worsen due to climate changes, ineffective and wasteful water use due to poor infrastructure as well as poor maintenance, and inadequate development strategies relying on ambitious hydraulic schemes (e.g. the Lake of the Golden Century in Turkmenistan).By William D. O’Malley and Roger N. McDermott (4/9/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Since 1999, Kyrgyzstan has been struggling to effectively confront a growing terrorist threat. Bishkek early on embraced the idea of forming rapid reaction forces within the CST, created in 2001, which it hoped would boost its neighbors’ commitment to provide military assistance in the event of crisis or conflict. It soon became clear that Moscow placed great emphasis on the potential for the CRDF to enhance regional security, and in the aftermath of the deployment of U.By Peter Laurens (4/9/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: The capital markets can be driven as much by rumor as by fundamental economic realities. This was perfectly illustrated by the Turkish stock market over the last month: by end-March, the Istanbul Stock Exchange (IMKB) national-100 index slid towards historic lows, trading around 9000 points, on fears that several billion dollars in official U.S.The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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