IMPLICATIONS: The Central Asian states have occupied a particular niche in the post-Soviet efforts to create a common economic space. Dissatisfied by the failure of agreements sponsored by Moscow, the Central Asian states began promoting their own formulas for regional cooperation within the Central Asian region. Their goal was to put an end to the paternalism and manipulation of Moscow’s image as the “elder brother” and create the basis for greater policy coordination within Central Asia. After a meeting at the Kyrgyzstan resort town of Cholpan Ata in April 1994, Central Asian heads of state announced that they would form a regional compact within Central Asia. In July of 1994 the Central Asian heads of state met in Almaty to announce a package of Central Asian cooperation agreements. The partnership eventually acquired the name of the Central Asian Economic Union. In January 2001 the group adopted the name Central Asian Economic Forum. In February 2002 the group renamed itself the Central Asian Economic Cooperation Organization. Although cooperation in customs, tariffs, trade, transport and other forms of regional cooperation did not live up to expectations, the group did continue to meet regularly for over a decade. Throughout this period, Russia was conspicuously absent from the deliberations, neither playing a role as an interested party nor as an observer. The announcement in late May 2004 by the Central Asian heads of state in Astana Kazakhstan that Russia had been admitted as a member of the Central Asian Cooperation Organization came as a surprise to outside observers. The admission of Russia as a member of the organization constitutes a reversal for Russia’s role in Central Asian affairs. Russia’s renewed role in Central Asia is largely a product of Russia’s new southern policy carried out under the auspices of the Eurasian Economic Community, the Evrazes. While the Evrazes was originally created and brought into being in June 2001 as a policy-harmonizing, economic cooperation organization for the entire post-Soviet space, its evolution has acquired three particular features. First, in geostrategic respects, it has become heavily oriented toward the Caucasus and Central Asia. Second, in functional respects, it has become much broader than a special purpose economic organization and has begun to acquire a leading role in broader diplomatic activities ranging from investment policy to military policies. Third, Russia has sought to adapt the Evrazes to the objective of compensating for American inroads in the Central Asian region.
CONCLUSIONS: The return of Russia as a major participant in Central Asian regional discussions is a reflection of the Central Asian countries’ efforts to signal Washington that the disputes of the immediate post-collapse period are now being resolved. The Central Asian leaders are sensitive to international criticism over human rights violations, the lack of a public mandate from free and fair elections, and the inability to solve regional conflicts over trade, transport, water and energy disputes. Reinvigorating partnership with Russia is apt to bring them less criticism than relationships with the West. Russia’s gas, oil, electric and banking sectors are rapidly expanding thanks to Russia’s oil-driven economic growth. These are all sectors of key importance to the Central Asian states.
AUTHOR’S BIO: Gregory Gleason is Professor of Political Science and Public Administration at the University of New Mexico.