RUSSIA’S HAPPINESS IN MULTIPLE PIPELINES
By Pavel Baev (6/16/2004 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: The start for this race was back in September 1994 when Azerbaijan signed a contract on the development three oil fields with a BP-led consortium of Western companies. With hindsight, the investors would probably agree that the term ‘the deal of the century’ was a bit of wishful thinking, but their immediate concern ten years back was transportation. The hugely expensive and geopolitically risky plan for a 1000-mile pipeline connecting Baku via Tbilisi to the Mediterranean port of Ceyhan (BTC) captured the imagination of politicians in Azerbaijan, Turkey and, crucially, the U.RUSSIAN FORCES IN TAJIKISTAN: A PERMANENT PRESENCE?
By Stephen Blank (6/16/2004 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: By March 2004 it seemed clear that Russian troops and advisors were going to leave Tajikistan. Yet it also seemed that Tajik-Russian relations were good and improving. Key Tajik officials certainly made public statements to that fact and did so even into May, even granting the necessity of a base for Russian forces there.EXPECTATIONS OF ROSE REVOLUTION PROVE PREMATURE IN ARMENIA
By Arman Grigorian (6/16/2004 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Robert Kocharian’s legitimacy and authority in Armenia has been questioned and challenged repeatedly since he came to power after president Ter-Petrossian’s resignation in February 1998, as the constitutionality of the events leading to the resignation was questioned. This was followed by charges of rigged elections in 1998, reinforced by criticisms from international observers. Kocharian’s problems were exacerbated when less than a year later, Vazgen Sargissian – the powerful Armenian defense minister and erstwhile Kocharian supporter – formed an alliance with Kocharian’s challenger in the 1998 presidential elections, Karen Demirchyan.EUROPE AND THE CAUCASUS: IN SEARCH FOR A PURPOSE
By Svante Cornell (6/2/2004 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: The European Union’s relationship with the South Caucasus has been perplexing for several years. European states, individually and collectively, are significant donors to the South Caucasus: a billion Euro worth of aid has been allocated since the early 1990s, with little to show for it. In fact, European policy in the South Caucasus has been characterized variously as a “costly failure” or as a policy of “splendid isolation”.Visit also
Staff Publications
Silk Road Paper S. Frederick Starr, U.S. Policy in Central Asia through Central Asian Eyes, May 2023.
Analysis Svante E. Cornell, "Promise and Peril in the Caucasus," AFPC Insights, March 30, 2023.
Oped S. Frederick Starr, Putin's War In Ukraine and the Crimean War), 19fourtyfive, January 2, 2023
Oped S. Frederick Starr, Russia Needs Its Own Charles de Gaulle, Foreign Policy, July 21, 2022.
Silk Road Paper S. Frederick Starr, Rethinking Greater Central Asia: American and Western Stakes in the Region and How to Advance Them, June 2022
Oped Svante E. Cornell & Albert Barro, With referendum, Kazakh President pushes for reforms, Euractiv, June 3, 2022.
Oped Svante E. Cornell Russia's Southern Neighbors Take a Stand, The Hill, May 6, 2022.
Silk Road Paper Johan Engvall, Between Bandits and Bureaucrats: 30 Years of Parliamentary Development in Kyrgyzstan, January 2022.
Oped Svante E. Cornell, No, The War in Ukraine is not about NATO, The Hill, March 9, 2022.
Analysis Svante E. Cornell, Kazakhstan’s Crisis Calls for a Central Asia Policy Reboot, The National Interest, January 34, 2022.
Book S. Frederick Starr and Svante E. Cornell, Strong and Unique: Three Decades of U.S.-Kazakhstan Partnership, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, December 2021.
Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell, S. Frederick Starr & Albert Barro, Political and Economic Reforms in Kazakhstan Under President Tokayev, November 2021.