By Khatuna Salukvadze (2/8/2006 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Much has been said lately about Russia’s use of hydrocarbons as a remedy designed to alter the behavior of those neighboring states that have opted for membership in NATO and the EU. Now it appears that Russia fancies the idea to “correct” the democratic and Euro-Atlantic aspirations of its neighbors by the means of traditional military force. Observers who find such a possibility too hard to believe should reflect on “The New Russian Doctrine”, an article by Russia’s defence minister, Mr.By Rafis Abazov (2/8/2006 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Large migration waves have become a common phenomenon in the era of globalization, as millions of people have left their homelands, legally or illegally, in search of political stability and/or economic opportunities. The similarities of migration trends end here, though, as governments concerned by immigration have been maintaining different policies dealing with this issue. The size of migration, the political and economic environment, and past experiences play crucial roles in shaping government attitudes.By Jaba Devdariani (2/8/2006 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: On January 30, President Vladimir Putin instructed Russia’s Foreign Minister to make sure that the solution on the status of Kosovo is “universal” in character, specifically noting that it should be applicable for the conflicts in the post-soviet space, including Abkhazia. Speaking at a press conference on January 31 he elaborated on the issue and did not exclude recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia by Russia, in case Kosovo is granted full independence, quoting of Turkey’s recognition of Northern Cyprus as a precedent. On January 31 the UN Security Council adopted a resolution on extension of the mandate of UN observer mission (UNOMIG) in Abkhazia.By Haroutiun Khachatrian (1/25/2006 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Russia has been the only exporter of gas to Armenia over the last decade. Armenia, lacking hydrocarbon reserves, imports around 1.7 billion cubic meters of gas a year.The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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