Today in Uzbekistan, Islamism has become the chief political opposition to the current regime of Islam Karimov and, has become increasingly politicized, advocating regime change and the implementation a Islamic law, Sharia. Increasing numbers of ordinary people today tend toward thinking that Islamic government can change the situation in the country. Turgunaka, the former chair of a mahalla (local self-administration) said: “If we will have Islam here, then it will improve our life”. This is only one of evidence of people who were former “government supporter” change their minds and lean toward the Islamic alternative.
In Uzbekistan today, there is no open opposition. Therefore Islamism became the only alternative for people who disagree with the regime. People do not have any chance to satisfy their needs and therefore they find Islam as an output of their frustration. Even Imams in mosques became government supporters, and they always ask God to bless the government during speeches at Friday prayers and Islamic Holidays. Moreover, the mass corruption, decay of social values, prostitution and bad economic conditions make ordinary people think that only by Islam it is possible to improve the current situation.
The economic situation is really bad today in Uzbekistan. A minimum basket of goods cost 170,000 sums, which is the average necessary for a family of four persons, but in fact the average salary is 15,000-20,000 sums. Working for government and getting such low salary forces people to find other ways to earn money, and if in such a position, people start accepting bribes.
The situation is much worse in the rural areas, where social and economic conditions and demographic problems are sever –there are even cases of starvation among people. These problems also push people toward the Islamist alternative, in turn helping radical movements to recruit ordinary people and especially youth in their activities. As the International Crisis Group puts it, “Closed political systems, lack of freedom of speech, lack of economic progress, and unreformed and brutal security services all contribute to the growth of radical opposition groups.”
Thus Islam today is the sole opposition to current regime. While ordinary people do not accept the idea of military struggle to change government as desired by Wahhabi movements and the IMU, they have slowly begun to accept that Islamic rule could improve their lives. This is the fundamental feature of Hizb-ut-Tahrir, which is oriented mostly on social, political and economic reforms. And it is possible that the Uzbekistani government is creating the ground for future massive Islamic opposition, which will be more powerful and popular among ordinary people in Uzbekistan.