Monday, 10 February 2003

ABKHAZIA FEARS POSSIBLE NEW INVASION ATTEMPT BY GEORGIA IN APRIL-MAY

Published in News Digest

By empty (2/10/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)

Abkhazia\'s authorities have not ruled out the possibility of Georgia yet again attempting to invade Abkhaz territory in April or May, 2003. Abkhaz Vice-President Valery Arshba told Interfax on Monday that the republic\'s leaders \"do not rule out that in April or May of this year after the snow thaws in the mountain passes, Georgia may again try to invade Abkhazia by using the upper part of the Kodori Gorge.\" Arshba believes that in this military operation, \"Tbilisi will involve international terrorist groups.
Abkhazia\'s authorities have not ruled out the possibility of Georgia yet again attempting to invade Abkhaz territory in April or May, 2003. Abkhaz Vice-President Valery Arshba told Interfax on Monday that the republic\'s leaders \"do not rule out that in April or May of this year after the snow thaws in the mountain passes, Georgia may again try to invade Abkhazia by using the upper part of the Kodori Gorge.\" Arshba believes that in this military operation, \"Tbilisi will involve international terrorist groups.\" \"At present about one thousand armed people, including Georgian special-task units, are stationed in the upper part of the Kodori Gorge,\" the vice-president said. He also underscored the need to set up a permanent Russian peacekeeping post in the upper zone of the Kodori Gorge. \"The current patrols of the Kodori Gorge conducted by peacekeepers and UN military monitors are not very effective,\" he believes. Commenting on Tbilisi\'s official suggestion to change the mandate of the peacekeeping forces in the Georgian-Abkhaz conflict area, Arshba said, \"We are categorically against any expansion of the peacekeepers\' area of action and giving them police functions. The peacekeeping forces have been strictly adhering to their mandate and have created an environment for peaceful dialogue between Sukhumi and Tbilisi. Unfortunately, Georgia has not even tried to make use of this.\" The vice-president also spoke out against creating joint Georgian- Abkhaz administrations in some of Abkhazia\'s districts. \"Heads of district administrations are appointed by the Abkhaz president, while local authorities are elected. There will never be any other bodies of power in Abkhazia,\" Arshba stressed. (Interfax)
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The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.

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